Autoregressive models of background errors for chemical data assimilation

Autoregressive Models of Background Errors for 1 Chemical Data Assimilation

Autoregressive Models of Background Errors for Chemical Data Assimilation

The task of providing an optimal analysis of the state of the atmosphere requires the development of dynamic data-driven systems that efficiently integrate the observational data and the models. Data assimilation (DA) is the process of adjusting the states or parameters of a model in such a way that its outcome (prediction) is close, in some distance metric, to observed (real) states. It is wid...

Data Assimilation in Multiscale Chemical Transport Models

In this paper we discuss variational data assimilation using the STEM atmospheric Chemical Transport Model. STEM is a multiscale model and can perform air quality simulations and predictions over spatial and temporal scales of different orders of magnitude. To improve the accuracy of model predictions we construct a dynamic data driven application system (DDDAS) by integrating data assimilation...

Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation for Atmospheric Chemical Transport Models

The task of providing an optimal analysis of the state of the atmosphere requires the development of dynamic data-driven systems (das) that efficiently integrate the observational data and the models. In this paper we discuss fundamental aspects of nonlinear ensemble data assimilation applied to atmospheric chemical transport models. We formulate autoregressive models for the background errors ...

a new approach to credibility premium for zero-inflated poisson models for panel data

هدف اصلی از این تحقیق به دست آوردن و مقایسه حق بیمه باورمندی در مدل های شمارشی گزارش نشده برای داده های طولی می باشد. در این تحقیق حق بیمه های پبش گویی بر اساس توابع ضرر مربع خطا و نمایی محاسبه شده و با هم مقایسه می شود. تمایل به گرفتن پاداش و جایزه یکی از دلایل مهم برای گزارش ندادن تصادفات می باشد و افراد برای استفاده از تخفیف اغلب از گزارش تصادفات با هزینه پائین خودداری می کنند، در این تحقیق ...